History and ethnic conflict: Does early state formation matter?
Author: Subhasish Ray
Stata replication commands
Model 4.1: reg lnpolicprop V33 extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop,cluster(ccode)
margins, predict(xb) at (V33=(1(1)5))
marginsplot, xtitle("Jurisdictional hierarchy") ytitle("Predicted police ethnic share")recast(line)
Model 4.2: logit included V33 extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
margins, predict(p) at (lnpolicprop=(-10(1)5))
marginsplot, xtitle("Police ethnic share") ytitle("Predicted probability of initial inclusion")recast(line) recastci(rarea)
Model 4.3: logit war_onset V33 extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
margins, predict(p) at (included=(0 1))
marginsplot, xtitle("Initial post-colonial inclusion") ytitle("Predicted probability of intrastate onset")recast(line)
Model 5.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev chiefdom extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 5.2: logit included statelikev chiefdom extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 5.3: logit war_onset statelikev chiefdom extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
Model 6.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikem extrastatewar M30 M230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 6.2: logit included  statelikem extrastatewar M30 M230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 6.3: logit war_onset statelikem extrastatewar M30 M230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
Model 7.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop if ccode<27,cluster(ccode)
Model 7.2: logit included  statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop if ccode<27,cluster(ccode)
Model 7.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation if ccode<27,cluster(ccode)
Model 8.1: xtreg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop, fe cluster(ccode)
Model 8.2: xtlogit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop, fe
Model 8.3: xtlogit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation, fe ltol(0) tol(1e-7) i(ccode)
Model 9.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_area_sqkm,cluster(ccode)
Model 9.2: logit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_area_sqkm lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 9.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_area_sqkm lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
Model 10.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_pop_density,cluster(ccode)
Model 10.2: logit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_pop_density lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 10.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_pop_density lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
Model 11.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_meanelev ln_elevsd ,cluster(ccode)
Model 11.2: logit included  statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_meanelev ln_elevsd lnpolicprop, cluster(ccode)
Model 11.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_meanelev ln_elevsd lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation, cluster(ccode)
Model 12.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop coastdist,cluster(ccode)
Model 12.2: logit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop coastdist lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 12.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop coastdist lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
Model 13.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop africa inteffv,cluster(ccode)
Model 13.2: logit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop africa inteffv lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 13.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop africa inteffv lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
Model 14.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop agricultural_dependence,cluster(ccode)
Model 14.2: logit included  statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop agricultural_dependence lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 14.3: logit war_onset  statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop agricultural_dependence lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
Model 15.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_gdp90_total,cluster(ccode)
Model 15.2: logit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_gdp90_total lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 15.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop ln_gdp90_total lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
Model 16.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev cowextrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 16.2: logit included statelikev cowextrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 16.3: logit war_onset statelikev cowextrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,cluster(ccode)
Model 17.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop, cluster(ccode)
Model 17.2: logit polincl statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop, cluster(ccode)
Model 17.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop polincl lnpcincome lnpopulation, cluster(ccode)
Model 18.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop,cluster(ccode)
Model 18.2: logit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop,  cluster(ccode)
Model 18.3: logit conflict_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation, cluster(ccode)
Model 19.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop if id!=70 & id!=76 & id!=184,cluster(ccode)
Model 19.2: logit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop if id!=70 & id!=76 & id!=184,cluster(ccode)
Model 19.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation if id!=70 & id!=76 & id!=184,cluster(ccode)
Model 20.1: reg lnpolicprop statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop if lnrugged!=.,cluster(ccode)
Model 20.2: logit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop if lnrugged!=.,cluster(ccode)
Model 20.3: logit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation lnrugged lnland_area lngemstones if lnrugged!=.,cluster(ccode)
Model 21.1: xtreg lnpolicprop  statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop, i(ccode)
Model 21.2: xtlogit included statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop,i(ccode)
Model 21.3: xtlogit war_onset statelikev extrastatewar V30 V230 lneprethnprop regional_base lnurbanprop lnpolicprop included lnpcincome lnpopulation,i(ccode)
